View the bets for UFC FN151 under:
Shane Burgos Free Breakdown
At 28 years old, Burgos is coming into his prime as he takes on the veteran Cub Swanson. He will have a substantial advantage advantage of 5.5 inches and is overall a considerably larger featherweight. At the pocket Burgos is vastly more specialized with crisp mixes and dangerous power. He comes from a fantastic camp but his main weakness appears to be defense, where he’s left himself exposed to strikes and been hurt in many recent conflicts.
Swanson is a much more unorthadox and wild fighter and his style looks to struggle against more specialized competition. He is on a significant losing streak where he has appeared flat and vulnerable in each fight. It seems Cub is on a a downturn which is not surprising given his own age in a division where speed is king. It should be noted that most of Cub’s losses have begun to high 10 resistance, but it is his lack of competitiveness which raise a red flag.
This battle should be entertaining with both guys willing to stand and commerce. In the improbable event that Swanson can reignite his early career performances that this might be a close battle, but we expect to find a falling veteran who can’t keep up with the more technical youthful talent. Back Burgos for the win , likely in the distance.Brad Katona Breakdown
Katona, winner of TUF and the hometown fighter is taking on the ever relentless Merab Dvalishvili. Katona has considerably better striking compared to his opponent and holds a BJJ blackbelt. In his career he has not shown the most effective initial takedown defense but he uses his grappling talents to continue being dangerous and create scrambles. Thus far he has demonstrated a strong ability to get back to his feet. Dvalishvili is basic standing, mostly throwing his looping right hand to prepare level changes. He averages an absurd amount of takedown efforts each struggle, compounded by the fact that he struggles to keep top position for long periods.
In this fight it’s possible Dvalishvili does property takedowns but Katona has plenty of skills to avoid getting stuck on his spine. More time on the toes for Katona means he will maintain control, landing hurt and accumulating rounds. This should be a close fight where the value lies with the neighborhood underdog.
Bet = Katona in 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 3.30 Units.
Nordine Taleb Breakdown
Kyle Prepolec is coming into this fight on short notice and united with the fact he’s fighting a division his chances appear slim. Taleb is a well rounded fighter who has a substantial advantage in every area of the fight. On the toes he’s defensively sound and fights long with his jab, straight punches and leg kicks to place the distance. Prepolec likes to get in close but leaves himself wide open when entering the pocket. His strikes are he should be open to counters from Taleb. Size are also a large element where Prepolec has shown a inclination to escape out in the grappling section by far smaller and less talented fighters than Taleb. This is probably his safest path to success where he likely dominates to establish a finish. On short notice introduction there are simply too many barriers to overcome and whilst the odds are short, this looks to be a simple win.